Staff writer
In this week’s weather forecast for the region, significant rainfall and potential flooding are predicted in central to northeastern Tanzania and southern Kenya, according to the regional IGAD Climate Prediction and Application Centre (ICPAC).
In the forecast for January 23 – 30 2024, moderate rainfall ranging from 50 to 200mm is expected over most parts of Burundi, Tanzania, and southern Kenya.
Light rainfall, less than 50mm, is anticipated in southern Uganda, Rwanda, central and coastal Kenya, as well as coastal regions of Sudan, Eritrea, and Djibouti.
Meanwhile, dry conditions are forecasted for Sudan, South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, northwestern and northeastern Kenya, western and eastern Ethiopia, and Somalia.
Rainfall anomalies
Wetter than usual conditions are expected in central to northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, and central to southern Kenya. Drier than usual conditions are anticipated in western and southern Tanzania.
Exceptional rainfall
Heavy to very heavy rainfall, ranging from the 90th to 95th percentiles, is expected over parts of central to northeastern Tanzania, extending into southern Kenya.
Floods update
There is a high risk of flash floods and flooding in parts of central to northeastern Tanzania and southern Kenya. The Moderate to very heavy rainfall may exacerbate the flooding situation in these flood-prone areas.
ICPAC further forecast that moderate to high temperatures, ranging from 20 to 32℃, are expected over South Sudan, Uganda, Eritrea, Djibouti, central to southern Somalia, Tanzania, and eastern and northern Kenya.
Mild temperature conditions, below 20℃, are forecasted for parts of central to western Kenya, western Rwanda, Burundi, central Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and most parts of Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
Warmer than usual temperatures are predicted over Eritrea, Djibouti, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
Cooler temperatures than average are expected in most parts of Sudan and northern South Sudan.
Heat stress
Elevated levels of heat stress are expected in eastern Tanzania, eastern and coastal Kenya, southern Somalia, and the eastern regions of South Sudan.
Stay prepared and take necessary precautions based on the weather conditions in your area.